Sunday, 30 June 2013

Strategic Inventory Placement(Pharmaceutical, Agrichemicals…)

In many B-to-B industries suppliers produce the same basic product for several to many customers. The product may be the same, but often the packaging and (or) the labelling will be different. Labelling and packaging is often different from customer to customer, but also within a single customer packaging and labelling might well be different from country to country. Agrichemicals and generic pharmaceuticals are examples.
This variation in packaging causes inventory and availability problems that endanger suppliers’ business since clients can get the same or very similar product from another supplier. Switching does not solve the problem for a client it simply transfers it to another company. Performance is unlikely to improve in any sustainable way.
Suppliers need a solution that makes it possible to guarantee availability, with, at the same time, reducing the amount of stock in the supply chain. A robust effective solution would most probably also take some of the pressure off price.

Are Suppliers & Customers Partners, Competitors or Enemies?

Businesses in a supply chain are really only paid when the final customer, the consumer, has paid for the product – everything else is an advance payment. Every company along the supply chain is competing for that consumer’s dollar. In the B-to-B part of the supply chain a supplier and his customer negotiate price that will, to a large extent, determine profits and return on investment of the B-to-B pair. It is clearly a conflict situation since both the purchasing agent and the salesman concerned are charged with maximizing profit for their company … at least usually. Companies within a supply chain are certainly competitors.
Supply chain collaboration is a buzzword that sounds and real collaboration could be great. Whatever level of cooperation or collaboration is actually achieved, the fact remains that two parties within a chain compete. A level of mistrust is likely to remain.
In many supply chains customers throw orders to their suppliers over a wall– many times as a surprise (in terms of volume or timing). Orders can arrive at really inconvenient times. The supplier may suggest a way to solve the problem – for instance by sharing demand information. A supplier might offer a significant discount for much earlier commitments from clients. Can these proposals work?
Sharing demand information is often problematic because it seems to give away proprietary information that may get into competitors’ hands. On top of that, even if demand forecasts are shared, we all know that these tend to be quite inaccurate. Actual orders are often significantly different. Demand forecasts are inadequate and usually not so useful for suppliers.
A firm order placed well in advance sounds very attractive for a supplier (and for the client if he gets a nice discount). However reality will almost certainly catch up with the client. Close to delivery time he needs a different mix of products. He will request last minute changes to his orders. The supplier loses the discount and gains no stability benefit for his production unit.
Our problem is to find the robust, simple solution to get the best information about near term demand to the supplier’s production unit and to his suppliers. The criteria for such a solution must be something like:
  1. Visible, transparent information about current demand for all stocked items (those not made to order).
  2. Visibility must be such that all nodes in the supply chain have absolute clarity about the priorities to ensure correct replenishment of stocks in the supply chain.
  3. The system must have a simple and dynamic way to adjust target stock levels to current demand as it changes over time.
  4. A supply chain must carry stock at the most appropriate strategic locations with the following two targets: a. Minimize stock levels within the supply chain. b. Guarantee near 100% product availability.
  5. A monitoring system to provide early warning of an arising capacity problem.
  6. The key performance indicators that show the supplier and his customers what their respective performance levels are.
Make for Availability is a process and system that meets the above criteria. If a part of the business is Make to Order, then the two processes can be easily integrated into one mixed mode solution.
In addition to the basic criteria above, the process needs to be able to cope with:
  1. Seasonality (Agrichemicals have very seasonal demand).
  2. Promotions – especially in retail situations.
  3. Sudden peaks in demand – for instance when the supplier gains a new large customer.
  4. Sudden loss of a significant account.
  5. The need to forecast longer-term demand remains – in order to support decisions about capacity changes.
In today’s business environment the technical challenges to support such a process can easily be overcome.

Selling the Concept

That companies compete for the profit of a supply chain makes the sale (of such a concept) a difficult one. In addition most purchasing personnel and their counterparts from the supplier’s sales organisation do not normally negotiate about inventory, information and availability. They are used to discuss price, product quality, product features and benefits. These people will need to master the core of Make for Availability and the corresponding business offer being made.
Before purchasers and salesmen can even talk about the solution the process must be absolutely clear for a sales or purchasing person to make a coherent offer. The solution may well be a paradigm shift for clients (or suppliers). The process may well indicate that a better location for stocks exists and should be used. There are considerable implications in the way the process must function; who will do what; where will inventories be stored etc. Not too difficult a process to understand, but a purchasing organisation must be in a position to sell the benefits in such a way that will almost certainly gain the clients’ cooperation.
NewImage
Where should Inventory be located?
Do we need so much?

Friday, 14 June 2013

Roni's Thinking Games

TOC (Theory of Constraints for Education) has developed this short (less than 90 secs) video to help teach kids cause and effect thinking. This is what they have said:

"Hi Everyone, this clip is the first chapter out of 14, where we aim to improve our children's cause effect thinking. The approach is based on the Thinking Tools of TOC by Dr. Goldratt. HOPE YOUR KIDS ENJOY IT!!!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8ZVNuDp5H0

Learning cause and effect thinking may be helpful for all of us, from business to politics!

DSC00240

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=w8ZVNuDp5H0

Sunday, 9 June 2013

Should I Invest In “CCPM”?

CPPM is an example to explain how you can, should you wish to do so, look at any decision to change (or not). CCPM (Critical Chain Project Management) is a project management methodology that claims to bring very significant benefits to those that choose to use it. The benefits claimed are so high that they must look like marketing hype to those just discovering it. The paragraphs below look at the decision for or against CCPM from 4 perspectives:
1. The potential positives of an investment in CCPM (“The Pot of Gold”).
2. The potential negatives of the investment (“The Crutches”).
3. The positives of NOT investing (“The Mermaid” you want to keep”).
4. The negatives of NOT investing (“The Crocodile” that is already snapping at your heels).
To learn more about the 4 aspects of a decision and resistance to change please click here.

The Pot of Gold

Critical Chain Project Management promises some significant benefits to you, your business and the community.
  1. Projects, especially in multi-project environments, take much less time (25 -50% shorter) to complete.
  2. Projects can meet their due dates much more often (>90% on time). Those that are late are much less late than current experience.
  3. The project organisation can complete many more projects (without adding resources) than is currently possible (25 to 50% and sometimes even more).
  4. People’s motivation and harmony in the workplace increases dramatically. This is the benefit that Japanese organisations apparently value the most - they certainly value this a lot.
  5. Your business can (should management wish) take advantage of speed, reliability and capacity to transform these benefits into a winning strategy and greater sales. Throughput can grow much faster than operating expenses.
The “Pot of Gold” does not explain how and why CCPM works. To learn more please attend a CCPM workshop (More Projects in Less Time OR The 2-Day Critical Chain Workshop)

The Crutches

To adopt the CCPM methodology requires paradigm shifts. Each of these paradigm shifts is based on common sense, but they are diametrically opposed to common practice. This will of course cause people in project environments (team-members and management) to worry about the consequences and dangers of the change.
While the methodology deals with the potential negatives and practitioners have learned the ways to deal with others, you must evaluate the risk for yourself. A significant thing to think about is that the work to be done remains the same. CCPM does not change the work, only the way it is organised, sequenced and synchronised. Situations and risks that may worry you include
  1. Projects are supposed to take less time, workload does not change and I know from experience there is never enough time. Our (my) performance levels will be at risk.
  2. Tasks are cut by 50% - what will that do to my performance?
  3. If we can do more with the same resources, then management might decide to do the same with fewer resources. My job is at risk!
  4. To invest in Critical Chain will mean a lot time and money to make the change. We need to invest in software, consultants and a lot of time to learn.
  5. Project team members may not behave, as they should.
If you want to learn more about Critical Chain and the risks involved please follow this link or attend one of our workshops.

Your Mermaid

The current environment is fine. We (I) know what we are doing and are comfortable in our current process. Our clients and we are comfortable with the current process (they and we do not know anything else). Expectations are being met. If this is so and the results you achieve are good enough, then you have less reason to change. You need to evaluate whether or not the Pot of Gold is as big as promised, whether the risks of change (Crutches) are too big and the risks of not changing (the Crocodile) are small enough and whether your current environment (your Mermaid) is nice enough. You know your Mermaid the best! You know how well your current situation meets the requirements of your business. If there is no need, then do not invest!

But maybe you should watch what your competitors (crocodiles) are doing.

The Crocodile

The way your projects are managed today might already cause you and your business to suffer from crocodiles:
  1. Customers threaten to go to competitors because your lead-times are too long or too unreliable.
  2. Investment projects may be unattractive because project costs are too high and lead-times too long. Potentially attractive projects are not pursued.
  3. New product developments take too long and consume too much of your capacity. Competitors are gaining on you.
  4. If the Critical Chain promises are valid, then you will have a new crocodile from those competitors that have adopted it.
  5. Margins are under huge pressure from clients.
You need to understand your crocodiles currently threatening you and your business. As crocodiles grow and become more aggressive something will have to be done.

What is the Right Solution for YOU?

CCPM might be the solution, although Agile, Scrum, Reliable Scrum, Kanban and Spider project management are all methods you probably should evaluate. They all are ways to address the problems of current common practice and the problems most businesses have with late, over budget and missing content in their projects. To learn more see Speed4Projects.
Join us in workshops to look at ways to combine ideas from all of these so that you can guarantee reliability and speed. Click on the Workshop to follow the link.
  1. More Projects in Less Time; Simplified Resource Management;
  2. The basics of Critical Chain;
  3. 2-Day Critical Chain Workshop (A); The Path to Success for Project Organisations (B)
  4. Practical Project Control
  5. Evaluate your Risks and Benefits with Critical Chain
  6. Critical Chain as a Business Strategy
  7. Software to Support Critical Chain
  8. Comparison of Project Management Methodologies
The workshops are in German. If you prefer these workshops can be presented as private events in both German and English.